Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2058.724278 2238.961263 2422.078853 2621.758159 2833.071208 3049.750107 3288.432512
2025-02-16 1741.387651 2006.234152 2286.167080 2602.938081 2950.273245 3318.400028 3736.908491
2025-02-23 1568.978629 1886.287994 2231.479240 2632.519472 3083.220439 3571.743519 4138.904156
2025-03-02 1418.447242 1770.082428 2162.274594 2628.216479 3162.715669 3752.827233 4449.638642
2025-03-09 1322.459185 1704.751940 2140.406614 2667.887527 3283.446441 3973.434219 4799.499293
2025-03-16 1206.506112 1605.938951 2070.806205 2644.033908 3323.975265 4097.063570 5034.563671
2025-03-23 1149.981300 1573.101177 2074.374123 2701.981940 3456.494349 4324.386922 5387.808941
2025-03-30 1078.426759 1516.389398 2044.556033 2715.856476 3533.553108 4484.747621 5661.877622
2025-04-06 1008.995484 1457.594827 2008.036338 2717.841403 3593.300746 4622.531367 5908.131118
2025-04-13 908.786806 1353.428745 1909.683482 2638.537550 3549.837855 4633.559933 6000.812076
2025-04-20 889.235842 1353.002405 1941.085789 2720.196660 3703.468458 4881.914764 6378.717436
2025-04-27 854.928178 1330.664213 1942.577004 2762.639518 3807.632437 5070.104701 6684.701214
2025-05-04 801.866589 1281.062776 1907.525827 2758.072292 3853.691410 5189.146945 6910.120101
2025-05-11 746.132305 1224.875935 1861.358384 2737.074877 3877.545001 5280.158204 7101.468552
2025-05-18 714.242248 1200.251446 1855.731292 2767.770661 3966.494404 5451.756886 7392.549009
2025-05-25 672.048087 1158.511058 1824.880950 2763.308639 4008.816470 5564.226704 7610.157654
2025-06-01 648.715922 1142.867314 1828.739033 2804.440064 4109.986570 5751.014235 7921.340010
2025-06-08 604.994956 1094.638555 1785.237006 2779.709080 4123.381359 5825.452744 8091.057466
2025-06-15 591.550377 1091.223876 1804.162559 2839.784702 4248.747881 6043.295150 8442.822099
2025-06-22 564.705141 1065.819775 1790.598773 2854.166741 4312.768423 6182.266698 8695.027555
2025-06-29 535.832392 1035.722681 1768.968868 2856.224214 4359.501997 6298.579311 8918.541769
2025-07-06 484.685597 967.484912 1689.117176 2774.010247 4290.152596 6262.158963 8944.792875
2025-07-13 482.788848 978.745892 1726.749448 2858.665531 4448.510037 6524.450902 9357.443928